AC Transit History: From Streetcars to BRT
AC Transit, like most other US public transit agencies, has been bleeding riders since the early 1970s. Now, with a major shift in focus, the once scandal-plagued agency is slowly, but steadily gaining traffic for essentially the second time in three decades. The agency’s East Bay Bus Rapid Transit proposal, if adopted, will mean even more significant
changes are on the horizon.
Because the plan to develop a
network of dedicated bus lanes running down major East Bay avenues is
fueling interest in AC Transit’s future, now is a good time to look at
its past. Be warned, it’s not a pretty history. For decades, AC Transit
was synonymous with corruption, poor service, and shoddy management.
It’s only in the past few years that the agency has managed to increase
ridership while providing service that actually lures people from the
comfort and convenience of their cars. Indeed, 40 percent of AC Transit
riders own automobiles.
As the agency pursues one of the most
successful public transportation trends of the last 60 years, it’s
interesting to note that AC Transit was born from the collapse of a
transportation network that had served the East Bay from the days when
horses pulled streetcars down a dusty Telegraph Avenue.
From the Key System to AC Transit
AC Transit rose from the ashes of the privately owned Key System,
which operated East Bay streetcar and bus routes beginning in 1903, but
discontinued streetcar service in 1948 after being purchased by General
Motors. Soon, the agency was nearly defunct, and the State Legislature
created AC Transit in 1955. A voter-approved bond measure provided the
funds for the agency to acquire the now-bankrupt Key System in 1959,
and operations began a year later.
In its early years, the
agency was nationally recognized as a model system. Ridership on the
system’s buses steadily rose to an early 1970s peak,
when they carried roughly 280,000 riders a day. Although, like most
public transit agencies, it grappled with intermittent deficits and
budget cuts throughout the 1970s, it remained relatively stable. AC
Transit’s fortunes truly began their long, painful decline in 1978,
with the passage of California’s Proposition 13.
The property taxes the agency has long relied on to sustain its
operations became harder and harder to pass. Between 1967-77 and
1983-84, property tax revenues, which had accounted for 56% of the
agency's revenues, plunged from $20.8 million annually to $11.8
million, leaving the agency with a $56.7 million deficit despite a 140%
fare hike.

The Early Days: An AC Transit Bus at the Transbay Terminal.
Scandal and Service Cuts
At
first, the agency was able to rely on state and federal money to close
the gap, but massive cuts to federal public transit funding under the
Reagan administration hit the agency hard, and by 1985, AC Transit was
in crisis mode. It lobbied unsuccessfully for a cut of state lottery
money to keep moving its 235,000 daily riders and was forced to raise
fares. Safety and maintenance woes plagued the system - the agency's
850-bus fleet was in such a state of disrepair
that 70 buses were removed from service while awaiting backlogged
repairs, and another 75 simply didn’t run at all. The repair backlog
was so dire that AC Transit had to decline to remove from service a
number of buses that the Federal Government issued a voluntary recall
on due to safety concerns.
The next year brought more bad news
for the agency. Although the directors by now acknowledged the system
needed sweeping changes, they had so little data about their operations
that they couldn’t even determine where to start. Faced with a $4
million deficit, they hiked fares again, and made the largest service
cuts in their history. They couldn’t turn to the State for a bailout -
in 1986, the State’s Legislative Analyst recommended withholding funding from AC Transit because the agency was so wasteful. The only good news all year was the passage of a half-cent sales tax
to fund Alameda County transportation projects, part of which would go
to AC Transit. Hoping for a new direction, the agency promoted former
bus driver Gene P. Gardiner to general manager. Immediately after
taking office, he warned passengers not to expect much in terms of
improvements.
By 1987, the system was down to roughly 235,000 weekday passengers, a 12.3% plunge
from 1982 levels. The agency coped by initiating sweeping layoffs,
restructuring their Oakland routes, and eliminating 20% of rush hour
service. Things were so bad that the US Department of Transportation
recommended simply privatizing the system. The directors brought in a
new director of planning to reorganize the agency, but fired him only
12 weeks later after he roundly condemned the agency for having “no
financial controls.” The canned director took his complaints to the
Alameda County District Attorney, saying, “I have never worked for a public agency that has such a lackadaisical approach to fiscal control.”

A Bus from the Bad Old Days
Ridership
continued to plunge. In 1988, AC Transit recorded 61 million trips,
down from 84 million in 1981. The agency’s fortunes worsened as an
Alameda County grand jury called for all seven directors to resign
immediately, and director Linda Shepard
was charged with 7 criminal counts of misusing public funds. When the
board refused to resign, the State Legislature considered a bill
stripping their power altogether, and placing the agency under control
of a State-appointed trustee.
When a state audit condemned the agency for its complete fiscal
incompetence, the grand jury renewed their calls for resignation.
Instead, the directors pinned their hopes for big changes on industry
leader and former executive director of the Seattle Metro, Neil
Peterson, their 5th general manager in six years. Their hopes were
short-lived, however, and Mr. Peterson left only 6 months later,
informing the directors that the only way to get the system back on
track would be by implementing cuts of “major magnitude,” but the
directors responded simply by raising fares once again.
Things
didn’t get any better the next year. The agency was now down to 220,000
daily riders, and deficit problems were exacerbated by ongoing safety
and maintenance issues. In 1989, seven buses caught fire in four
months. Hoping to increase ridership by 20% over the next five years,
the directors approved a major route overhaul.
The
new decade brought another fare hike and more scandal, with the abrupt
resignation of the agency’s general manager amid a controversy over
misappropriation of funding and the suspension of a senior manager
after he told a transportation study group that AC Transit’s problems
were the fault of “inept women and minorities” within the agency. The
Directors replaced him with agency general counsel Sharon Banks. One
stubborn problem disappeared that year. After two years, the District
Attorney’s office dropped its charges against Linda Shepard.
As funding continued to decline in 1991, the agency considered instituting annual fare hikes, initiated a 25-cent transfer fee,
and slashed night and weekend service. An influx of state funds to help
ease congestion caused by the Cypress Structure collapse brought a
small boost, but not enough to keep the agency solvent. The next year
brought another round of deep service cuts and yet another fare hike.
Rock Bottom
Budget woes continued for the next several years, prompting General Manager Sharon Banks to say
in 1995, "We're at the end of an era where people could expect a bus at
8,000 stops, seven days a week, 24 hours a day." Even after another
fare hike, a $12 million deficit prompted the board to approve a plan
to eliminate all bus service between 10 PM and 5 AM and reduce the
number of routes running from 7 PM to 10 PM from 73 to 20.
An emergency bailout from Sacramento
postponed the cuts, but the agency still had to eliminate night service
on 27 routes. The following year, the agency slashed service another 16
percent, eliminating all runs between midnight and 5 AM, and ceasing
weekend service on 12 routes. A despairing Banks told the Chronicle “We
are cutting bone marrow to balance our budget." The agency hoped to
close funding deficits with a parcel tax, but the measure failed.
A
BART strike in 1997 brought AC Transit its first stroke of good luck in
years. The strike forced thousands of commuters onto AC Transit’s
transbay buses, straining the agency to its limits. Amazingly, riders
liked the bus, and passengers on the routes surged even
after the strike ended, raising weekday boardings along the routes from
9,500 to 13,500 by the beginning of 1998. For the first time in years,
the agency actually increased service, but only along transbay routes.
But the rider surge wasn’t enough to boost the system into solvency, and after a failed attempt to renew the 1986 sales tax,
AC Transit Director Director Clinton Killian's comments were downright
apocalyptic, telling the Chronicle "If we lose again, we'd have to cut
(AC Transit) bus service by 15 percent," said Mr. Killian.
Sharon
Banks fell ill in late 1998, and took leave from the agency the
following January, dying less than a year later. Under Ms. Banks’s
tenure, the agency’s financial woes had continued, but charges of
mismanagement and incompetence had finally evaporated. The agency once
again raised fares, but for the first time in years, the increases were
accompanied not by service cuts, but actual improvements. The agency
restored weekend service to West Oakland and reinstated nighttime
service.
Full Circle: Bus Rapid Transit
In 2000 and 2001, a robust economy fueled massive leaps in transit ridership,
causing trips to surge nationwide, with the US reaching its highest
level of transit ridership since the 1940s. AC Transit was swept up in
the trend, and ridership soared. The jump was largely fueled by solid
job growth (the more jobs there are, the more people take transit to
get to them) and rising sales tax revenues, but also accompanied
service expansions. In 2002, a Metropolitan Transportation Commission
report warned operators against growing too optimistic, noting that
ridership drops should be expected the following year due to the
slowing regional economy.

Source: National Transportation Database
The MTC was right. Rising unemployment meant falling ridership, and the accompanying plunge in taxable sales proved
disastrous for Bay Area transit systems. By 2003, virtually every Bay
Area transit system had erased any dot-com gains. Agencies throughout
the region faced multi-million dollar budget shortfalls, and between
2002 and 2005, VTA, Samtrans, Caltrain, Muni, and AC Transit all
considered declaring or declared states of fiscal emergency. Even after
another fare hike, AC Transit had to cut service 14 percent in 2003 to
make ends meet.
2003 marked a major positive shift in AC Transit’s fortunes as well. That was the year the agency released a new plan
Initial results indicate the plans are working. June
of 2003 brought the first phase of AC Transit's rapid bus plan, with
the introduction of the 72R along San Pablo Avenue, which lacked a
dedicated lane, but employed low-floor buses and signal priority. As
riders were abandoning traditional neighborhood routes, they flocked to
the speedier rapid bus. Not only did the new bus reduce travel time by
17% over previous limited stop service on the route and 21% over
previous local service, but ridership soared, increasing by 8.5% along
the corridor after a year and a half of service. The improved bus was
actually able to get people out of their cars - 19% of 72R riders
reported that they had previously traveled the route via automobile.
The
first buses rolled out along the agency’s second rapid route, the 1R,
in June 2007. Although it is too early to measure ridership impacts of
the 1R, the Telegraph Avenue corridor it serves has been steadily
gaining riders, leaping to the position of the Bay Area’s ninth most
traveled bus route for 2004-05. The line, which travels along Telegraph
and East 14th from Berkeley to San Leandro, will act similarly to a
light rail system, with passengers boarding from center-road bus
stations after pre-buying tickets at kiosks. Bus Rapid Transit offers
similar fare-box recovery and travel time to light rail systems, but
requires roughly a third of the capital investment. Under the BRT plan,
buses would arrive at stations every 5 minutes during peak travel
periods, and travel time over the full route would fall 30 percent.
With BRT, the agency expects trips along the corridor to rise from
24,000 per day to 49,000 by 2025.
The BRT proposal has raised
protests from residents along the corridor who fear that removing a
lane available for car traffic will increase congestion, although the
Draft EIR’s study found that traffic would not increase along the roads
due to the number of travelers who would use the bus instead. While
every fully fledged BRT system introduced thus far in the US has vastly
exceeded ridership predictions, opponents still contend that few East
Bay residents will be willing to make the switch.
Between
focusing its service improvements on major commuter arteries rather
than neighborhood-serving buses and experimentation with alternative
energies, AC Transit has elected to make a major shift - the focus is
now one of long-term energy and emissions reductions, rather than the
traditional model of providing transport to those who simply can’t
afford a car. The emphasis on trunk routes means that transit-dependent
riders living far from large corridors lose out, but beefing up service
along major lines may be the best route toward financial stability for
the agency, while simultaneously encouraging more progressive decisions
about land-use.
Whether fully-fledged Bus Rapid Transit will
be part of the agency’s future is simply a matter of political will.
The project has run into opposition from the Berkeley City Council, and
faces less direct barriers from the City of Oakland, who informed the
AC Transit Board last week that their plans for a redesigned 12th
Street Bridge will be unable to accommodate a dedicated bus lane.
Politicians are understandably reluctant to gamble on whether removing
a lane available for cars from two major thoroughfares will ease
congestion as predicted.
But what we do know is that the
coming years will see more people moving here and traveling along these
routes, and that the roads can’t be expanded to accommodate increased
car traffic. The best evidence from around the world, and here in the
US, suggests that BRT eases congestion and encourages people to use
public transportation. The question is whether local politicians will
choose to make their decisions based on evidence or intuition.
intended to refocus their growth efforts. Recognizing that the five
largest lines carry 45 percent of the agency’s passengers, AC Transit
elected to focus future improvement efforts on these densely populated
corridors.
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